Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 7.346008 8.092107 8.901955 9.849779 10.933060 12.137703 13.585825
2026-01-11 6.178500 7.136420 8.243283 9.628475 11.332063 13.380504 16.063355
2026-01-18 5.669616 6.769952 8.099118 9.845814 12.115457 15.014588 19.081458
2026-01-25 5.136783 6.287071 7.723659 9.683438 12.341799 15.905747 21.195908
2026-02-01 4.731443 5.911792 7.427904 9.563434 12.570688 16.779401 23.356328
2026-02-08 4.385956 5.577143 7.144376 9.414030 12.717239 17.521574 25.391291
2026-02-15 4.078679 5.265322 6.859373 9.224643 12.769141 18.106416 27.235978
2026-02-22 3.857310 5.051568 6.688053 9.173970 13.007354 18.981914 29.659323
2026-03-01 3.584665 4.747190 6.365103 8.868705 12.818347 19.147686 30.873777
2026-03-08 3.305305 4.416436 5.982186 8.441559 12.394163 18.875046 31.248687
2026-03-15 3.130345 4.224949 5.789294 8.288705 12.392374 19.302500 32.972054
2026-03-22 3.190197 4.376031 6.109831 8.958231 13.803029 22.334056 40.268100
2026-03-29 3.105060 4.311918 6.107416 9.121239 14.390904 24.005726 45.244073
2026-04-05 2.938573 4.116521 5.890892 8.915646 14.311601 24.417780 47.586097
2026-04-12 2.877048 4.077066 5.914653 9.112511 14.973765 26.350934 53.817705
2026-04-19 2.746371 3.923304 5.746411 8.965625 14.980898 26.962210 57.009754
2026-04-26 2.633635 3.791924 5.606508 8.857032 15.048361 27.704276 60.702293
2026-05-03 2.523806 3.659843 5.457978 8.721778 15.049586 28.301756 64.154689
2026-05-10 2.414589 3.523816 5.295729 8.550237 14.962016 28.690527 67.126497
2026-05-17 2.336066 3.433800 5.205694 8.504322 15.123592 29.664258 72.048286
2026-05-24 2.220680 3.279038 4.998667 8.227560 14.783603 29.425741 73.247537
2026-05-31 2.092127 3.098264 4.740013 7.839833 14.182146 28.501073 72.108936
2026-06-07 2.014020 2.998071 4.615929 7.700949 14.099855 28.830375 75.134732